Vol. 27, issue 09, article # 11

Skvortsov V. A., Chudnenko K. V. Thermodynamical model of the emission greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and change of climate. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2014. V. 27. No. 09. P. 833-840 [in Russian].
Copy the reference to clipboard

Abstract:

Thermodynamical modeling of the carbon, methane, nitrongen oxide, and chlorofluorcarbon emissions have been carried out near the Earth's surface up to a height of 500 m at an average temperature of 15°С and in the troposphere up to a height of 2 km at a temperature of 3°С (at pressures of 1013.25 and 790 gPa).
It has been ascertained that doubling of the CO2 concentration in the surface air layer can cause an increase in the surface temperature on the planet up to 18.15°С by 2100, to 19.43°C with additional contributions of CH4, to 20.08°С with accounting for N2O, and to 23.35°С with accounting for all gases including chlorofluorocarbons and water vapor; in the lower troposphere, the temperature can increase to 4.64°C with an increase in CO2, to 5.83°С with an additional contribution of CH4, to 6.51°С with accounting for N2O, and to 7.61°С with accounting for all gases, including chlorofluorocarbons water vapor.

Keywords:

thermodynamic model, emission, greenhouse gases, atmosphere, temperature, factors, climate

References:

1. Budyko M.I. Atmosfernaja uglekislota i klimat. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1973. 33 p.
2. Kovi K. Orbita Zemli i lednikovye jepohi // V mire nauki. 1984. N 4. P. 26–35.
3. Fiziko-geograficheskij atlas mira. M.: Akademija nauk SSSR i Glavnoe upravlenie geodezii i kartografii GGK SSSR, 1964. 298 p.
4. Osnovy prirodopol'zovanija: jekologicheskie, jekonomicheskie i pravovye aspekty: uch. posobie / A.B. Vorob'ev [i dr.]; pod red. prof. V.V. D'jachenko. Izd. 2-e, dop. i pererab. Rostov n/D: Feniks, 2007. 542 p.
5. Ronov A.B. Jevoljucija sostava porod i geohimicheskih processov v osadochnoj obolochke Zemli // Geohimija. 1972. N 2. P. 137–147.
6. Budyko M.I., Ronov A.B., Janshin A.L. Istorija atmosfery. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1985. 208 p.
7. Losev K.S. Jekologicheskie problemy i perspektivy ustojchivogo razvitija Rossii v XXI veke. M.: Kosmosinform, 2001. 400 p.
8. Special'nyj doklad MGJeIK. Scenarii vybrosov. MGJeIK, Zheneva, Shvejcarija, 2000. 27 p.
9. Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): Climate Change 2001. V. 1. The Scientific Basis. Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press., 2001. 881 p.
10. Skvorcov V.A., Chudnenko K.V. Termodinamicheskaja model' jemissii ugleroda v atmosfere i izmenenie klimata // Optika atmosf. i okeana. 2012. V. 25, N 8. P. 688–693.
11. Karpov I.K. Fiziko-himicheskoe modelirovanie na JeVM v geohimii. Novosibirsk:Nauka, 1981. 247 p.
12. Chudnenko K.V. Termodinamicheskoe modelirovanie v geohimii: algoritmy, programmnoe obespechenie, prilozhenija / Otv. red. V.N. Sharapov. Institute geohimii im. A.P. Vinogradova SO RAN. Novosibirsk: Akadem. izdatelstvo «Geo», 2010. 287 p.
13. Larin I.K. Himija parnikovogo jeffekta // Himija i zhizn'. 2001. N 7. P. 46–51.
14. Kondrat'ev K.Ja., Pozdnjakov D.V. Ajerozol'naja model' atmosfery. M.: Nauka, 1981. 104 p.
15. Kislov V.A. Klimat v proshlom, nastojashhem i budushhem. M.: MAIK «Nauka», Intermetodika, 2001. 351 p.
16. Budyko M.I. Izmenenie klimata. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1974. 280 p.
17. Marchuk G.I. Modelirovanie izmenenija klimata i problema dolgosrochnogo prognoza pogody // Meteorol. i gidrol. 1979. N 7. P. 25–36.
18. Pierrehumbert R.T. Principles of planetary climate. Cambridge University Press, 2010. 678 p.
19. Borisenkov E.P., Kondrat#ev K.Ja. Krugovorot ugleroda i klimat. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1988. 320 p.
20. Sorohtin O.G. Parnikovyj jeffekt: mif i real'nost' // Vestn. RAEN. 2001. V. 1, N 1. P. 6–21.
21. Sorohtin O.G. Jevoljucija i prognoz izmenenij global'nogo klimata Zemli. M.; Izhevsk: Institute komp'juternyh issledovanij, 2006. 88 p.
22. Problemy ucheta parnikovyh gazov v Rossii // JeSKO Jelektronnyj zhurnal jenergoservisnoj kompanii «Jekologicheskie sistemy». 2002. N 10. P. 1–7.
23. Bazhin N.M. Metan v atmosfere // Sorovskij obrazovatel'nyj zhurnal. 2000. V. 6, N 3. P. 52–57.
24. Karol' I.L., Kiselev A.A. Atmosfernyj metan i global'nyj klimat // Priroda. 2004. N 7. P. 47–52.
25. Dzjuba A.V., Eliseev A.V., Mohov I.I. Ocenka izmenenija skorosti stoka metana iz atmosfery pri poteplenii klimata // Izv. RAN. Fiz. atmosf. i okeana. 2012. V. 6, N 3. P. 52–57.
26. Golubjatnikov L.L., Mohov I.I., Eliseev A.V. Cikl azota v zemnoj klimaticheskoj sisteme i ego modelirovanie // Izv. RAN. Fiz. atmosf. i okeana. 2013. V. 49, N 3. P. 255–270.
27. Izmenenie klimata: ocenki MGJeIK za 1990 i 1992 years. MGJeIK, Kanada, 1992. 168 p.
28. Rovinskij F.Ja., Egorov V.I. Ozon, okisly azota i sery v nizhnej atmosfere. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1980. 182 p.
29. Belan B.D. Troposfernyj ozon. 7. Stoki ozona v troposfere // Optika atmosf. i okeana. 2010. V. 23, N 2. P. 108–127.
30. Belan B.D. Ozon v troposfere. Tomsk: Izd-vo IOA SO RAN, 2010. 488 p.
31. Zverev A.S. Sinopticheskaja meteorologija. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1977. 712 p.
32. Monin A.S. Vvedenie v teoriju klimata. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1982. 247 p.