Vol. 25, issue 01, article # 10

Komarov V. S., Lavrinenko A. V., Ilin S. N. Superlong-term dynamic-stochastic forecast of the air temperature in the boundary atmospheric layer. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2012. V. 25. No. 01. P. 70-74 [in Russian].
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A possibility of the use of two-dimensional dynamic-stochastic model for the superlong-term forecast of the air temperature in the atmospheric boundary layer for the one year lead time is considered. The estimation of the quality of the forecast is done for long-term (from 1973 to 2010) average annual and average seasonal (winter and summer) air temperature observations for 6 stations of Siberian region: Dickson, Tiksi, Salekhard, Omsk, Chita, Yakutsk.


superlong-term dynamic-stochastic forecast, air temperature, Siberian region