Vol. 30, issue 12, article # 9

Tartakovsky V. A., Cheredko N. N. Sun effect on surface temperature in the Northern hemisphere. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2017. V. 30. No. 12. P. 1059-1064. DOI: 10.15372/AOO20171209 [in Russian].
Copy the reference to clipboard

Abstract:

Series of temperatures measured at 818 weather stations in the Northern hemisphere and one series of Wolf numbers for the period from 1955 to 2010 are considered. The sun effect on the surface temperature is estimated by the cosine of the angle between the two vectors determined by the series under consideration using the cyclic time.  The technique is effective because it provides a broad common frequency band of the series under study.  The sun effect has a monotone approximated dependence on the monthly average temperature and reflects the climate geography, including the effect of warm ocean streams.  The approach suggested is expedient for applications in the development of observational data analysis, analytical transformations, and climate simulations.

Keywords:

solar activity, surface air temperature, climate

Figures:

References:

  1. Rakipova L.R. Vlijanie variacij koncentracii ozona na termicheskij rezhim atmosfery // Solnechno-atmosfernye svjazi v teorii klimata i prognozah pogody. L.: Gidrometeoizdat, 1974. P. 359–361.
  2. Callis L.B., Nealy J.E. Solar UV variability and its effect on stratospheric thermal structure and trace constituents // Geophys. Res. Lett. 1978. V. 5, N 4. P. 249–252.
  3. Pudovkin M.I. Vlijanie solnechnoj aktivnosti na sostojanie nizhnej atmosfery i pogodu // Soros. obrazovat. zh. 1996. N 10. P. 106–113.
  4. Svensmark H., Friis-Christensen E. Variation of cosmic ray flux and global cloud coverage – a missing link in solar-climate relationships // J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phys. 1997. V. 59. P. 1225–1232.
  5. Pudovkin M.I. Influence of solar activity on the lower atmosphere state // Int. J. Geomagn. Aeron. 2004. V. 5, N 2. P. GI2007. DOI: 10.1029/2003GI000060.
  6. Haigh J.D., Blackburn M., Day R. The response of tropospheric circulation to perturbations in lower-stratospheric temperature // J. Clim. 2005. V. 18. P. 3672–3691.
  7. Lean J., Rottman G., Harder J., Kopp G. SORCE contributions to new understanding of global change and solar variability // Sol. Phys. 2005. V. 230. P. 27–53.
  8. Jager C., Usoskin I. On possible drivers of Sun-induced climate changes // J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phys. 2006. V. 68. Р. 2053–2060.
  9. Courtillot V., Gallet Y., Le Mouël J.-L., Fluteau F., Genevey A. Are there connections between the Earth's magnetic field and climate? // Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 2007. V. 253. P. 328–339.
  10. Scafetta N. Solar and planetary oscillation control on climate change: hind-cast, forecast and a comparison with the CMIP5 GCMS // Energy Environ. 2013. V. 24, N 3–4. P. 455–496.
  11. Scafetta N. Global temperatures and sunspot numbers. Are they related? Yes, but non linearly. A reply to Gil-Alana et al. // Physica A. 2014. V. 413. P. 329–342.
  12. Lam M.M. Tinsley B.A. Solar wind-atmospheric electricity-cloud microphysics connections to weather and climate // J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phys. 2016. V. 149. Р. 277–290.
  13. Svensmark J., Enghoff M.B., Shaviv N.J., Svensmark H. The response of clouds and aerosols to cosmic ray decreases // J. Geophys. Res.: Space Phys. 2016. V. 121, iss. 9. P. 8152–8181.
  14. Dymnikov V.P. Ustojchivost' i predskazuemost' krupnomasshtabnyh atmosfernyh processov. M.: IVM RAN, 2007. 283 p.
  15. Sajt FGBU Gidrometcentr Rossii [Jelektronnyj resurs]. URL: http://meteoinfo.ru/forecasts-limits (data obrashhenija: 01.06.17).
  16. Ghil M.M., Allen R.M., Dettinger D., Ide K., Kondrashov D., Mann M.E., Robertson A.W., Saunders A., Tian Y., Varadi F., Yiou P. Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series // Rev. Geophys. 2002. V. 40, N 1. Р. 1–41. DOI: 10.1029/2001RG000092.
  17. Tartakovskij V.A. Sinhronnyj analiz rjadov chisel Vol'fa i temperatury s meteostancij Severnogo polusharija Zemli // Optika atmosf. i okeana. 2015. V. 28, N 2. P. 182–188.
  18. Tartakovsky V.A. Synchronicity as an essential property of solar-terrestrial relations: Latent components // Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. Dis. 2015. V. 2. Р. 1275–1299. DOI: 10.5194/npgd-2-1275-2015.
  19. Cheredko N.N., Tartakovsky V.A., Krutikov V.A., Volkov Yu.V. Climate classification in the Northern hemisphere using phases of temperature signals // Atmos. Ocean. Opt. 2017. V. 30, N 1. Р. 63–69. DOI: 10.1134/S1024856017010043.
  20. Arhiv Universiteta Vostochnoj Anglii [Jelektronnyj resurs]. URL: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk, http:// www.cru.uea.ac.uk (data obrashhenija: 01.06.17).
  21. Glavnaja (Pulkovskaja) Astronomicheskaja Observatorija [Jelektronnyj resurs]. URL: http://www.gao.spb.ru (data obrashhenija: 01.06.17).