Optika Atmosfery i Okeana Journal

Vol. 32, issue 04, article # 12

Zuev V. V., Mordus D. P., Pavlinskii A. V. Verification of aircraft icing forecast based on the atmospheric radiometry remote method. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2019. V. 32. No. 04. P. 329–331. DOI: 10.15372/AOO20190412 [in Russian].
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Abstract:

The results of verification of the aircraft icing forecast based on the remote method for determining the areas of potential icing in the lower kilometer layer, are presented. The evaluation was carried out on the basis of the calculation of the presence warning of the dangerous meteorological phenomenon, in this case, the icing of the aircraft. The method of calculating of the phenomenon presence warning, which corresponds to the method used in the aviation forecasting units for the calculation of accuracy, is described. The proposed method takes into account not only time but also height. The calculations showed that the proposed remote method successfully predicted aircraft icing hazard, both using the Godske formula and the Schulz–Politovich model.

Keywords:

aircraft icing, phenomenon presence warning, forecast accuracy, the Godske formula, the Schulz–Politovich model

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