Vol. 3, issue 01, article # 10

Kalinenko A.N., Teushchekova T.G. Methods of self-organization of models in problems of physical-statistical prediction of altitude profiles of the temperature. // Atmospheric and oceanic optics. 1990. V. 3. No. 01. P. 50-56.
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Abstract:

Possible applications of algorithms of the method of grouping of arguments (MGA) in problems of medium- and long-term prediction of the altitude profiles of the temperature are discussed. These algorithms make it possible to construct simple predictive models with optimal complexity based on a special table of the initial experimental data (predictors), which hold a long history of the process, and with the help of criteria set by experts. The effectiveness of this approach in medium-term prediction of the altitude profiles of the temperature is demonstrated for a concrete example.

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