Vol. 25, issue 09, article # 5

Аntokhin P. N., Arshinov M. Yu., Belan B. D., Sklyadneva T. K., Tolmachev G. N. Forecast of variations in ozone and aerosol concentrations based on the forecast for the 24th solar cycle. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2012. V. 25. No. 09. P. 778–783 [in Russian].
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Abstract:

On the basis of the established empirical dependence between change of concentration of ozone and an aerosol in a ground layer of air in area of Tomsk and a course of solar activity in 21–23 eleven-year cycles (a radio emission on length of a wave of 10.7 cm), on the literary data on the forecast of solar activity on 24th eleven-year cycle, the forecast of change of mid-annual concentration of ozone and an aerosol till 2021 is given. Proceeding measurements of ozone and aerosol and monitoring of solar activity will allow forecast verification.

Keywords:

atmosphere, aerosol, ozone, forecast, long-term, solar activity