Vol. 19, issue 04, article # 14

Popov Yu.B., Popova A.I. Estimation of the potential accuracy of the algorithm for meteorological data extrapolation by the state space method. // Atmospheric and oceanic optics. 2006. V. 19. No. 04. P. 311-313.
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An analytical formula is derived for variance of the extrapolation error allowing a computation of the spatial prognosis error of some meteoparameter at any initial conditions and any measurement interval. For the analysis, the filtering algorithm is chosen, which uses a spatial polynomial of the second order as the observational model.